国际生殖健康/计划生育杂志

国际生殖健康/计划生育 ›› 2012, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (3): 189-192.

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国三城市已婚流动人口生育意愿调查：对期望孩子数的分析

李玉艳 ,周 颖, 赵洪鑫, 黄 萍, 程建萍, 陈家鹏 ,武俊青   

  1. 200032 上海市计划生育科学研究所（李玉艳，周 颖，赵洪鑫，武俊青）；成都市计划生育技术指导所（黄 萍）；上海市闵行区人口和计划生育委员会（程建萍）；中国人口与发展研究中心（陈家鹏）
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2012-05-15 发布日期:2012-05-15
  • 通讯作者: 武俊青

Survey on the Fertility Desire of Married Migrants in Three Cities of China：Analysis of the Desired Children Number

LI Yu-yan， ZHOU Ying， ZHAO Hong-xin， HUANG Ping，CHENG Jian-ping，CHEN Jia-peng，WU Jun-qing   

  1. Shanghai Institute of Planned Parenthood Research， Shanghai 200032， China（LI Yu-yan， ZHOU Ying， ZHAO Hong-xin， WU Jun-qing）；Institute of Family Planning Technical Guidance，Chengdu 610031，China (HUANG Ping); Minhang District Population and Family Planning Commission, Shanghai 200240，China (CHENG Jian-ping); China Population and Development Research Center，Beijing 100081，China(CHEN Jia-peng)
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Published:2012-05-15 Online:2012-05-15
  • Contact: WU Jun-qing

PDF (PC)

7300

摘要： 目的：了解已婚流动人口的生育情况，包括已生育孩子数、期望孩子数，分析不同人口学特征对象期望生育孩子数的不同，为今后开展相应的服务提供参考。方法：采用多阶段整群抽样的方法选择北京、上海、成都不同工作场所（工厂、建筑工地、服务/娱乐场所）的流动人口，由统一培训的调查员开展结构式问卷调查，内容包括一般人口学特征、流动特征、生育状况和生育意愿等。结果：在4 050名已婚流动人口中，已生育孩子数的中位数为1个（四分位数间距为1）；期望生育孩子数的中位数为2个（四分位数间距为1）。期望生育1个孩子的比例在20岁以下年龄组为47.22%，20～29岁组为61.13%，30～39岁组为41.96%，而40岁及以上组为30.38%。多因素Logistic回归显示：40岁及以上的研究对象期望生育孩子数高于20岁以下者（OR=1.98，95%CI：1.04～3.77）；与农业户口的对象相比，非农业户口的对象期望生育孩子数较少（OR=0.62，95%CI：0.52～0.74）；学历越高、收入越高，期望孩子数减少；此外，不同工作场所的研究对象，其生育孩子意愿有所不同。结论：中国三城市已婚流动人口期望生育孩子个数略高于已生育孩子数，但期望孩子数3个或以上的比例很低。年龄、学历、收入以及户口性质是对象期望孩子数的影响因素。

关键词: 人口特征, 居住流动性, 计划生育, 生育意愿, 工作场所

Abstract: Objective： To investigate the fertility status and desire of married migrants in Beijing， Shanghai and Chengdu， so as to provide groundwork for the future services. Methods： The migrants centralized in factories, building sites and service/entertainment places were recruited in this study. The questionnaire survey including demography characteristics, floating characteristics， reproductive status and fertility desire was conducted by trained investigators. Results： Totally, 4050 married migrants were investigated. The median of children number were 1 (1 to 2)， and the median of expected children number were 2 (1 to 2). The proportions of migrants hoping one child were 47.22%， 61.13%， 41.96%, and 30.38% in those age-groups of <20， 20-29, 30-39, and 40 or higher, respectively. The multi-logistic analysis found that the desired children number in the group of 40 or higher years was higher than that in the <20 age-group （OR=1.98, 95%CI: 1.04-3.77）. Subjects with the no-agriculture registered permanent residence wanted to have fewer children （OR=0.62, 95%CI: 0.52-0.74），when compared with those agriculture registered permanent residence. Moreover， the higher education level， the higher average month income of family they had， the fewer desired children they wanted. The fertility desires of migrants working in the different workplaces were also different. Conclusions： The average number of desired children of migrants worked in Beijing， Shanghai and Chengdu was a little bit higher than that they had， but most of migrants did not expect more than 3 children. Migrants who had higher age， lower education and lower income want to have more desired children.

Key words: Population characteristics, Residential mobility, Family planning, Fertility desire, Workplace