国际生殖健康/计划生育 ›› 2018, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (3): 181-186.

• 论著 •    下一篇

全面两孩背景下孩子数量对母亲职业发展的影响——基于Logistic差异分解模型

张苹,李悦铭,茅倬彦   

  1. 200040  上海市卫生和健康发展研究中心(张苹,李悦铭);中国人口与发展研究中心(茅倬彦)
  • 收稿日期:2018-02-27 修回日期:2018-04-17 出版日期:2018-05-15 发布日期:2018-05-15
  • 通讯作者: 张苹,E-mail:zhangping_53@163.com;茅倬彦,E-mail:maozhuoyan@foxmail.com E-mail:zhangping_53@163.com

Number of Children and Mother Career Development under the "Two-Child" Background--Based on Logistic Differential Decomposition Model

ZHANG Ping,LI Yue-ming,MAO Zhuo-yan   

  1. Shanghai Health Development Research Center,Shanghai 200040,China(ZHANG Ping,LI Yue-ming);China Population and Development Research Center,Beijing 100081,China(MAO Zhuo-yan)
  • Received:2018-02-27 Revised:2018-04-17 Published:2018-05-15 Online:2018-05-15
  • Contact: ZHANG Ping,E-mail:zhangping_53@163.com;MAO Zhuo-yan,E-mail:maozhuoyan@foxmail.com E-mail:zhangping_53@163.com

摘要: 目的:讨论全面两孩政策的实施和孩子数量的增加对女性职业发展的影响,探讨女性养育子女数与职业发展之间的冲突。方法:采用《上海0~3岁家庭育儿现状与需求调查》数据,以“近3年来,您是否为了家庭而放弃个人的发展机会?”为因变量,将与个人发展相关的是否为独生子女家庭、人口特征(性别、年龄、受教育程度)以及家庭需求等作为自变量,分别建立3个模型,采用Logistic回归分析对各因变量的影响作用进行综合评价。结果:实证分析发现3个非常明显的趋势:①同样情况下,相对于男性,女性放弃职业发展的机会更多;②独生子女和非独生子女的母亲在职业发展上存在明显差异,有2个孩子的母亲放弃职业发展机会更多;③女性职业发展受到人口特征、家庭需求以及独生子女属性的共同影响。结论:孩子数量的增加对女性职业发展带来负面影响,应采取措施有效解决女性养育子女数量与职业发展之间的冲突。

关键词: 母亲, 生育数量, 职业发展, 职业, 职业选择, 社会性别, 性别因素

Abstract: Objective:To investigate the effect of the number of children on the career development of mother under the "two-child" policy, and to explore the conflict between the child-rearing and women career development. Methods: The data from "Investigation of the present situation and demand of family parenting 0 to 3 years children in Shanghai " was used in this study. The dependent variable was set as " whether will you give up the individual development opportunity for your family in recent 3 years?" The independent variables were those factors related to personal development, including whether the one-child family, demographic characteristics (gender, age, education level) and family demand. Three models were then developed to evaluate comprehensively the effect of the dependent variable by logistic regression. Results: The empirical analysis showed three obvious trends as follows. ①Women gave up more opportunities of the career development when compared with men under the same conditions. ②There were significant differences in the career development between women with the only one child and women with more than one child, suggesting that those mothers with two children could give up more opportunities of the career development. ③The career development of women was jointly affected by the demographic characteristics, family demand and one-child property. Conclusions: There is a negative effect of the increased number of children on the career development of women. It is necessary to do something at present to solve the conflict between the number of children and the career development of women.

Key words: Mothers, Reproductive quantity, Career development, Occupations, Career choice, Social gender, Sex factors